Keys To The Game: Patriots host Dolphins, playoff implications

On Sunday, the Miami Dolphins will travel to the frozen tundra of Gillette Stadium to take on the playoff-bound New England Patriots.

Though all eligible contenders in the AFC are locked in, the format of the 2012 playoffs is to be determined. All eyes in New England will be on the 1PM matchup between the Indianapolis Colts and Houston Texans. The implications of that matchup will largely determine where the Patriots stand at kickoff.

There are many playoff scenarios – none of which come to fruition with a Patriots’ loss. For the Patriots, the modus operandi is to win. At 4:25PM, New England will have to put on the blinders and focus on these three factors:

Protect Tom Brady

Pass protection has been a nagging issue in recent weeks. It is task numero uno for opposing defenses: get to Tom Brady. Sacks and quarterback hits must be significantly reduced in order for this Patriots team to be successful tonight.

Stick to the Run

Part of successfully protecting Tom Brady stems from having a viable running attack. The run is what saved New England in their last meeting with Miami, and will be a big part of the gameplan this week,

Tighten up on the Secondary

I haven’t said this in a few weeks, but it certainly needs to be said: we need the secondary in order to win today. Keeping  Miami’s offense on the bench will allow Tom Brady & Co. to develop a rhythm where they can put up the obligatory 50+ points that led to New England’s midseason success. I’m nodding my head in the direction of Aqib Talib to be a difference maker. Let’s hope McCourty stays out of the CB spot.

I’m seeing the Patriots walk away from this one quite comfortably.

Patriots 34, Dolphins 20 (12-4)

Stay updated with New England Football Live on Facebook and Twitter!

Key Matchups for Pats-Texans

At this point in the season, Patriots fans are used to tuning into the second Monday night game of the year. Unconventionally, the matchup against the Texans is New England’s lone appearance on ESPN’s Monday Night Football. On the upside, we’re only forced to listen to Jon Gruden rant about ‘this guy’ or ‘the sheriff’ just once this year. The Monday night showdown against the Houston Texans will be a great barometer to evaluate just where the Patriots are at in this point of the season.

The Texans come in at an astounding 11-1, a record the seemingly deserve, as they have played some very resilient football over the course of the season. Their victories range from close calls, come from behinds, and blowouts. They rank 5^th and 6^th in offense and defense, respectfully, and rank in the top ten of nearly every major statistical category. Simply put, Houston has proven that they can win in nearly every fashion.

On the media front, all has been quiet from either side. Texans’ WR Andre Johnson said last week claimed that, “it’s the biggest game in (Texans) franchise history.” That’s about as much as you’ll hear from either side, as both teams have the upmost respect for one another.  

Here are some key Matchups to look for in tonight’s contest:

Tom Brady vs. J.J. Watt

Highly regarded as the top players at their respective positions this year, Brady vs. Watt should pan out to be one of the greatest head-to-head matchups you’ll see all season. It’s understood that the O-line will be directly responsible for defending Watt, but keep your eyes open pre-snap – this is where Brady will audible receivers to run opposite Watt in order to throw away from Watt, who leads the league in tipped balls this season (15).

Andre Johnson vs. Aqib Talib/Devin McCourty

This is when we get to see how good Talib can be. Acquired at the trade deadline, Talib had just over a week to get adjusted to the New England defense and has shown flashes of greatness. At times, Talib has also let players burn by him where there was apparently no safety help.

Safety help is also crucial. Johnson has the ability to torch the New England secondary on literally any play. It’s important for McCourty to keep an eye out, and to shut down all passing lanes.

Pats’ 3^rd Down Offense vs. Houston 3^rd Down Defense

Each team comes in ranked tops in either 3^rd down conversion (Patriots) and 3^rd down defense (Houston). This is a crucial in determining a victor tonight. If they want to win, The Patriots must either a). be successful on 3^rd down, or b). be very, very successful on 1^st and second down. The fan in me wants the latter, the analyst in me needs it to be the former.

In all, this will be a great contest that is arguably the game of the year. Stay locked to New England Football  Live for updates throughout the game.

Prediction:  Patriots 26, Texans 21 (10-3)

Stay updated with New England Football Live on Facebook and Twitter!

Pats face Jets on Thanksgiving Night

The Patriots close out a short week in a primetime matchup with the New York Jets on Thanksgiving night.

New England enters Thursday’s matchup with somewhat of a bruised ego, as All-Pro Tight End Rob Gronkowski, the focal point of the passing offense, has been sidelined for 4-6 weeks. Gronkowski broke his forearm on the Patriots’ final extra point in Sunday’s 59-24 win over the Indianapolis Colts.

New York headlines have found Gronkowski’s injury as something to give thanks for, as the New York Post’s headline on Tuesday simply read, “Thanks, Bill”. The Jets, as well as other teams around the league, believe that New England’s offense is stymied without the presence of Rob Gronkowski.

A New England fan, however, would find it hard to believe this to be true. The Patriots currently have 4 Tight Ends on the active roster, and can plug any of them in as needed in order to replicate Gronkowski’s presence. Furthermore, it is believed that Aaron Hernandez will return to the lineup vs. the Jets.

As for the Jets, I firmly believe that this is a make or break game for Rex Ryan. The Jets have lost three straight regular season contests; their last win came in a 28-21 upset at Gillette Stadium in the divisional round of the playoffs (I’m still not ready to talk about that game..)

There is reason to believe that the Patriots’ offense will come into Thursday’s game with more momentum than their initial Oct. 21^st matchup with New York. After dropping 59 on a pretty decent Indy defense, their confidence is sky high coming against an offense led by Mark Sanchez.

The loss of Rob Gronkowski will make very little difference; the Patriots should roll to victory very easily in the Meadowlands. 

Prediction:  Patriots 31, Jets 21 (8-3)

Patriots TE Rob Gronkowski suffers broken forearm

Comcast SportsNet reported late Sunday evening that Patriots TE Rob Gronkowski has broken his left forearm in Sunday’s win against the Indianapolis Colts.

The injury, which typically carries a 6 to 8 week rehabilitation period, would sideline Gronkowski until late December; perhaps mid-January.

Gronkowski's injury was believed to be sustained on a reception he made early in the 4^th quarter. Following Sunday’s win, Gronkowski had compiled 10 touchdowns on 53 receptions for a total of 748 yards.

Gronkowski had been a stalwart in the Patriots’ offense, and the workload now falls upon Tight Ends Aaron Hernandez, Visanthe Shiancoe, Daniel Fells, and Michael Hoomanawanui to replicate his production.

More to come on this story as it develops.

Stay updated with New England Football Live on Facebook and Twitter!

Patriots release WR Deion Branch

On Saturday, the Patriots released veteran WR Deion Branch… again.

The move comes less than 24 hours before the Patriots’ matchup against the Indianapolis Colts. Branch, the MVP of Super Bowl XXXIX, was previously released just before New England’s week 1 matchup with the Tennessee Titans, only to be re-signed two weeks later.

The release of Branch seems strictly business, as the Patriots used Branch’s roster vacancy to activate newly acquired CB Aqib Talib. Additionally, the Patriots promoted WR Greg Salas from the Practice Squad. Branch must clear waivers before becoming a complete free agent. Judging by the shuffling of receivers this year, one would be hard-pressed to believe that Branch has played his final game in a Patriots’ uniform.

More to come on this story as it develops.

Pats' Preview vs. Indy; let Luck pass

After Colts owner Jim Irsay took it upon himself to gut the entire organization from the front office to the players, the Patriots welcome the new-look Indianapolis Colts into town. With QB Andrew Luck at the helm, this proves to be a rather intriguing matchup.

 The number 1 overall selection in the 2012 NFL Draft has conducted himself in a Manning-like manner – promoting hard work, and quickly taking on a leadership role. Despite Andrew’s skills, as well as his will to win at the next level, it is hard to believe that there will be much luck at Gillette on Sunday.

Exceeding his expectations out of Stanford, Luck has drawn comparisons to Peyton Manning from every angle. While it is impossible to compare a rookie to a first-ballot Hall of Famer, Luck hasn’t quie fallen short of the outline set before him.

At 6-3, Luck has been a pivotal factor in each of Indianapolis’ victories – exhibiting heroic leadership along the way.

Be that as it may, Andrew Luck has the insurmountable task of going punch for punch with the one and only Tom Brady. It is because of this that his attempt at heroism in Foxboro will ultimately be unsuccessful.

While Luck is fully capable of carving up the Patriots’ secondary like a Thanksgiving turkey, the old adage stands: Rookies make rookie mistakes. Just a theory here, but with Colts RB Donald Brown questionable, the Patriots may be in the fortunate (perhaps unfortunate?) position of forcing Luck to pass more often by stifling the run. If the defense can exhibit more of a zone-blitz scheme than last week, the Patriots can pressure Luck into those second and third reads that rookie QBs often struggle to make. Containing Indy’s receiving corps – Reggie Wayne, in particular – will be of chief importance to make this plan work.  While the secondary catches a lot of heat for the defenses’ woes, a victory on Sunday will be up to the front seven and their ability to pressure Luck.

For a matchup vs. a rookie quarterback, this one will probably be closer than expected. The Patriots have just enough firepower on O to keep Andrew Luck at bay

.

Prediction: Patriots 31, Colts 23 (7-3)

Patriots take on Bills on Veterans' Day

Week 10: vs. Buffalo Bills. Sunday, Nov. 11. 1:00 p.m. ET. CBS.

 

The second half of the Patriots’ 2012 campaign is officially underway. Historically, New England has enjoyed great success down the stretch in years’ past, and this season will be no different.

 The Buffalo Bills come to town for their second and final matchup with the Patriots for 2012, and will ultimately walk away empty-handed. After coming up short at home, the Bills will not be able to work past a Patriots defense that has grown into itself. Wilfork & Co. will stifle Fitzpatrick’s attempts at being a relevant NFL Quarterback.

In the Belichick era, the Patriots are 9-3 following a bye week. Much of this is credited to Belichick’s careful preparation during the week off. If you consider that the Patriots’ have one good game of notes against the Bills already, the team is pretty much set on a solid gameplan. It’s not easy to win in the NFL, but this one seems as close to a sure thing as anything this year.

The Patriots walk away from this one unscathed ready totake on the Colts in Week 11.

 

Prediction: Patriots 31, Bills 17 (6-3)

Patriots acquire CB Aqib Talib from Tampa Bay

On Thursday, the day of the NFL’s Week 10 Trade Deadline, the Patriots traded for Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ CB Aqib Talib.

The Patriots sent  a 2013 4^th round selection in exchange for Talib and a 2013 7^th round pick.

Talib, a 4-year veteran of the NFL, is considered to be in the upper-echelon of defensive backs. At 26 years of age, and a $1.825M salary, the move is very low-risk for New England.

The acquisition of Talib eases the struggles of a much maligned secondary that ranks 30^th in passing yards in the NFL. Patriots defensive backs lead the league in passes completed over 20 yards. Additionally, the secondary has been plagued as of late by an injury bug that has claimed both Patrick Chung and Steve Gregory. The move to acquire Talib is one of talent – as he is one of the better cover corners in the league – as well as depth, and flexibility. With Talib in the mix, McCourty can be bounced between Cornerback and Safety, a spot he has become familiar with over the past year.

Talib brings to the Patriots his own brand of swagger – one of confidence, as he’s proven in coverage and in his knack for the ball. Since being drafted in 2008, Talib has collected 18 interceptions over the course of his career. Other than CB Shawn Springs, that’s more than any other Patriots’ DB since the departure of CB Asante Samuel that same year. (Safety John Lynch did not appear in a regular season game for the Patriots.)

The move not only fills an obvious hole for the Patriots, but bolsters a position that has been sub-par for years. Should the acquisition pan out, it could end favorably for Belichick, who has recently been criticized for his handling of the secondary in recent years.

Patriots Preview vs, Jets

Finally. This is the matchup all Patriots fans love to see. Anytime Rex Ryan and his band of thugs come into town, it proves to be a circus of entertainment.

The 2012 Jets are panning out to be more of a sitcom than an NFL football team. This week doesn’t really deserve any in-depth analysis - as it’s going to be your run-of-the-mill blowout – but there’s this cynical part of me that really enjoys talking trash about the Jets.

For one, you’ve got great uncertainty at the Quarterback position. You have a sleu of injuries to key personnel on either side of the ball – including CB Darrelle Revis, TE Dustin Keller, and WR Santonio Holmes.  Holmes, who is seen as a team leader by the Jets (and ONLY the Jets), has the capacity to blow up the entire locker room all on his lonesome. – side note: notice it’s been 7 sentences, and I haven’t mentioned HIM at all. – This week is almost too easy.

Despite the questions surrounding this Jets squad, the trash talking started again this week, nearly on cue. Jets coach Rex Ryan threw the first punch, telling reporters he “thinks we’re going to win”. Well, then. Ryan, a man who has failed to come to his senses when playing New England – he is 3-4 against the Pats as coach of the Jets – continues to flap the jaw, spewing excrement every which way he speaks.

Later in the week Jets lineman Calvin Pace called New England’s offense “borderline illegal”, which really is a backhanded compliment of sorts when compared to Seattle Seahawks CB Richard Sherman’s characterization of the Patriots’ “ gimmick” offense.

In the grand scheme of things, words don’t really matter. What matters is the personnel that will be on the field – a department that New York is severely lacking in lately. Because of this, and superb gameplanning by the man under the hood, The Patriots walk away from this one pretty easily.

Patriots will once again silence that really annoying noise coming from the New Jersey area.

Prediction: Patriots 38, Jets 13. (4-3)

Patriot Great Kevin Faulk retires at 36

Die-hard Pats fans logging onto the Patriots website today were greeted by a headline that brought a sense of realism, nostalgia and, admittedly, age to mind. Along the left margin and backed by a wall of nautical blue, the headline sent chills down this writer’s spine.

“Clutch 3-time champion Faulk calls it a career”

In just a few words, the headline captured the on-field highlights of one of the greatest 3^rd-down runningbacks in NFL History. “Clutch”, like when Faulk converted a big 3^rd-down against the Carolina Panthers in Super Bowl XXXVII. Or “Clutch”, like Faulk’s big run against the Rams in Super Bowl XXXVI. What about “3-time Champion”? There’s simply no explanation needed for such an accolade, and quite honestly there isn’t enough time in the day to go through all of Faulk’s contributions to the Patriots – as a player and a person.

What the fans don’t see is the immense leadership that earned Faulk his true veteran status. To be frank, Kevin Faulk rarely lit up the stat sheet. He had his games, for sure, but it was what he said and how he went about his football life that led him to a successful 13-year career.

As a player, Faulk was lauded for his willingness to tutor newcomers to the Patriots, and to lead by example. Faulk’s mantra was always “team-first”, sacrificing playing time and accolades of high praise for wins and a thorough understanding of one of the more complex offenses in the NFL. It is that selfless approach that makes Faulk not only a great player, but a great leader, and a true gentleman.

Fans such as myself are often berated for our overwhelming obsession with this sport – we’re often attacked by claims that this is only a ‘game’. One of the greatest counter-claims to that argument would be to follow the path set forth by Kevin Faulk. Faulk played this game as if it was his job. He showed up every day, and never took a play off. He showed up early to work out, and stayed late to watch game film. Faulk, knowing all well that he was a runningback in a pass-heavy offense, worked harder than any other Patriot to make every single play count. Faulk preached accountability to a man. After every loss, he addressed the fact that there are things that he could’ve done better. Kevin Faulk is the innovator of what is now referred to as the Patriot Way.

Faulk played the game the way it should’ve been played, and led his life the way a child would want to see his dad lead. As a player, Faulk made Patriots fans proud. As a person he was the absolute role model, from top to bottom.

To one of the greatest New England Patriots of all-time:

Thank you.

Patriots prep for Broncos

Sunday, October the 9^th marks not the beginning of a new chapter, but a whole new book in the storied Brady-Manning rivalry. 

 Hold your horses – this one won’t be your classic shootout that we’ve seen in years’ past. Peyton Manning’s move from the Indianapolis Colts to the Denver Broncos has him sitting atop the saddle of a whole new stallion.

Despite Manning’s efforts to thwart Brady’s success at home, the Broncos will be unable to buck the trend of the Patriots posting over 40 points against one of the better defenses in the league.

11-time Pro Bowl CB Champ Bailey will most certainly be a factor in Sunday’s matchup. In the two games against Denver last season, Tom Brady threw to Bailey only once. Bill Belichick backed up that level of respect this week, stating that Bailey was one of the best all-around corners in the league. In Friday’s press conference, Belichick lauded Bailey for his ability to matchup with bigger, physical receivers at the line, as well as containing undersized, quicker receivers in the passing game. Belichick says of Bailey, “…if he gets his hands on them and jams them, he can destroy the route right off the bat... He’s on a lot of routes just because he’s experienced and he’s smart. “

Despite Champ’s overwhelming presence in the secondary, there’s no reason to believe that Brady won’t have the type of success he’s had in the past year against Denver.

One of the cornerstones of this year’s Patriot offense is the ability to spread the ball around to all receivers in the passing game. Versatility is really the name of the game. New to this year is a solid running game.  The presence of a consistent running attack has proved to be one of the aspects that allows Brady to control the pace of a game. Down 21-7 against Buffalo last week, the Patriots elected to run the ball. While any other pass-heavy offense would’ve been forced to throw the ball, Offensive Coordinator Josh McDaniels continued to run the ball against a spread out Buffalo defense showing nickel and dime packages.

Pay little attention to the rivalry of Manning-Brady – this one shouldn’t be too close. Expect the Patriots offense to roll, and Manning to have an above average performance.

Prediction: Patriots 42, Broncos 24. (3-2)

Halftime Report vs. Ravens

At the half, the Patriots lead the Ravens, 20-14

Here are some thoughts from the first half:

Pocket Protectors

From the first snap, it was obvious that the offensive line had improved. On Brady’s 11-yard completion to Brandon Lloyd, the offensive line got a good enough push that nearly forced the guys in purple off the television screen. Brady has had nothing but time, and he just looks comfortable out here. Through the first two games, Brady’s success has been dependent upon the skill of the offensive line, which has been questionable at best. It’s looks as though they’ve established momentum vs. Baltimore.

Brady and Lloyd establish Rapport

In weeks past, we saw only the potential of the Brady-Lloyd saga. You could see something there, but we all knew it would take time to develop.

It has developed.

Brady is finding Lloyd on the closest routes and on the tightest throws. As I’ve said before, this looks like the beginning of a great relationship…

Defense Consistent         

Through the first quarter, the Patriots defense allowed only 17 points. To that, they did not allow a first down throughout the first quarter. ZERO.  Joe Flacco, who earlier this year claimed to be a top 5 QB, completed a beautiful pass to Patriots S Steven Gregory that brought the Patriots offense into a goal line situation.  It’s seems as though we’ll see a lot of that “bend-but-don’t-break” defense that led us to 3 Super Bowl Championships in the early 2000’s. Towards the end of the second quarter, the defense began to sputter, but this can be considered a wrinkle in what has so far been a solid season 

Pats' Preview: Week 3 vs.Ravens

Ah, yes. Or should I say, ‘Oh, no’? We knew they’d be back. They knew it too. It’s scary to think of what may unfold tonight when the Ravens host the Patriots at M&T Bank Stadium.

After a stunning loss at home, due in part to Gostkowski’s Cundiff-like kick, the Patriots enter this contest as underdogs with much to prove to their fans.

You can be assured that there will be no bounties necessary, as this Baltimore Ravens squad is so pissed at how their season ended – side note: I can remember walking out of my building screaming “Woo! Cundiff!” in the moments following the kicker’s monumental collapse in the AFC Championship game; Great times.  - and will be ready to punch this Patriots team square in the jaw.

Joe Flacco has started this season determined to silence the chorus of critics that broke down his gross inconsistencies throughout his 2011 campaign. Flacco has looked above average to this point, and has the capacity to break down a questionable Patriots secondary if the Defensive Line fails to play its cards right.

Not to be forgotten, Ray Lewis will be in uniform tonight, as he has been for every matchup against the Patriots. Lewis, a 17 year veteran of the NFL, has more heart and determination than a frat boy in a flag football league – just balls to the wall heart. Lewis doesn’t forget, and he knows the road to his second ring goes through New England. #52 came to play tonight, and will be an insurmountable force for New England’s offense.

They won’t get slaughtered, they won’t be shutout, but there is no such thing as a pleasant loss. Thus, I believe this team will take its second loss of the 2012 season on NBC’s Sunday Night Football. Mark it down: the Ravens will win on a late touchdown – perhaps poetic retribution for the way their 2011 playoff run ended.

Prediction: Ravens 28, Patriots 26. (2-1)

Halftime Report vs. Cardinals

At the Half, the Patriots and Cardinals are tied at 6

 While establishing defense, the Patriots offense is struggling to put points on the board

Some quick thoughts from the first half:

Cardinals aggressive out of the gate

Arizona has gone for broke in the first half, establishing momentum with both runs and passes, including an 18 yard Wilcat run by CB Patrick Peterson. The Cardinals are well aware of the threat of the Patriots offense, and are threading the needle behind a solid running game to try and score quickly

.

Tom’s Turnover

Tom Brady, on his first Gillette Stadium pass this year, has a tipped pass picked off by CB Patrick Peterson. The pass – intended for WR Julian Edelman – was most likely the result of a miscommunication in route running. The interception was the first Patriots turnover of 2012 Whatever the case, the Cardinals miss the opportunity to capitalize on the short field and get away with only a field goal.

Down goes Hernandez

TE Aaron Hernandez, who was seen favoring his ankle vs. Tennessee in Week 1, goes down hard with an undisclosed ankle injury. The injury was the result of a collision with WR Julian Edelman in which Edelman fell with all of his weight onto Hernandez’s ankle. Hernandez was helped into the locker room by the team’s training staff. We are awaiting word on the extent of Hernandez’s injury.

The non-existent Pass Rush Defense

While the defense has been stout in the points department, the Patriots defense fails to rattle Kevin Kolb’s cage. Putting pressure on the inexperienced Kolb is key to a victory today, as it was instrumental to the Patriots success vs. Tennessee last week. I’m not complaining, as the defense as aa whole is playing much better than that of the 2011 edition.  The point here is that the pass rush can certainly do better.

Coming up with a rhythm

In Joe Namath’s words, the offense is strugg-a-ling. Over the past year, the Patriots have been slow to start in the offense department. This usually isn’t an issue, as they are often at full speed by the second quarter. Today is different – the Patriots managed to earn only 2 field goals on the first 5 drives. Furthermore, the Offensive Line can’t seem to give Tom the time he needs. Brady seems rushed, and was often seen forcing the ball to Brandon Lloyd – a relationship that is in the making. Ridley, however, proves to be one glowing bright spot in the Patriots’ offense. Ridley’s explosiveness seems to be carrying over from last week, providing a consistent rushing attack  to slow down the Cardinals’ defense.

Pats' Preview: Week 2 vs. Cardinals.

This one just seems like a gimme, doesn’t it? Arizona hasn’t been much of a threat at all despite reaching Super Bowl XLIII in the 2008 season. Alas, I can assure you that this game will be much closer than what the numbers will tell us right now.

 Two words: Larry Fitzgerald.

 This guy could have Ryan Leaf chucking up lame ducks all season, and he’d still find a way to pull in 90/1,500/10 by Week 17. If that’s not bad enough, the Cardinals drafted WR Michael Floyd with the 13^th overall selection in the 2012 NFL Draft. Even if he is just an above-average wideout, Fitzgerald should be occupying at least 2 defenders all day, allowing Floyd to be open on many key plays. Hell, even Early Doucet has developed into a solid 3^rd option receiver, and could prove to be vital to Arizona’s gameplan.

Defending against the pass will be a chief concern for the New England Secondary, despite facing the unproven Kevin Kolb at quarterback. Observing the way the secondary line of defense plays all receivers Sunday will give those still weary of New England’s DBs a bit of insight on how this season will play out for that unit. Having a consistent pass rush today will ultimately dictate the success of the secondary.

I’m going against the grain here: I project this one to be much closer than most media pundits have predicted. Despite the threats Arizona’s defense possesses, New England walks away from this one holding their collective breath. The Patriots will enter Week 3 unscathed at 2-0.

Prediction: Patriots 31, Cardinals 24. (2-0)

Halftime Report vs. Titans

At the Half, the Patriots lead the Titans, 21-3

 

The Patriots seemingly pick up right where they left off last season.

 

Some quick thoughts from the first half:

 

Stevan Ridley Impressive

 

Starting RB Stevan Ridley impresses in the first half. Despite being stymied by a suspect Offensive Line. Ridley maintains great penetration, and continues to explode when given space. Though there were some questions about the makeup of the RB unit this preseason, Ridley is sure to monopolize the team’s carries.

 

Brady, Lloyd establish rapport

 

Though there was one glaring drop by Lloyd, it’s clear that Brady and Brandon Lloyd are, at the very least, comfortable with each other’s style of play. Brady is not afraid to force the ball in Lloyd’s direction with a noticeable confidence not seen since his days with Randy Moss. This seems to be the beginning of a great working relationship.

 

Rookies step up big in Week 1

 

The biggest plays of the first half were all made by rookies. second-round choice S Tavon Wilson sticks with a tipped Locker pass for an INT in the endzone. In the second quarter, Chandler Jones makes a great strip sack at the goal line, recovered by fellow first-round LB Donta’ Hightower who then returned it for 6. Though it is week 1, the rising of young Patriots is a testament to the Patriot Way and how respected it is by veterans here and throughout the league. The roster overhaul conducted this offseason seems to be a worthy investment to the future of the organization.

Roster Cut Reaction; Alfonzo Dennard's future in NE

Today, at approximately 5:45PM EST, the Patriots announced the mandatory roster moves that would bring them in accordance with the league’s mandated 75-man roster limit. While there were few surprises, the release of WR Jabar Gaffney highlights an otherwise unsurprising list of cuts.

The Patriots released:

                DL Tim Bulman

                DL Gerard Warren

                S Ross Ventrone

                WR Donte’ Stallworth

                WR Jabar Gaffney

Early Monday, reports circulated that the Patriots would part ways with NFL journeyman Donte’ Stallworth. This move was a sure fire indication that Jabar Gaffney had secured a role with the Patriots for 2012. However, this was not the case as the Patriots later announced that they would part with one of Brady’s favorite targets between 2006-08.

One of the more surprising moves (or lack thereof) was the Patriots not releasing DB Alfonzo Dennard. With Dennard being injured for all but 3 Training Camp practices, and CB Marquice Cole seeing extended playing time in Week 3 vs. Tampa Bay, Dennard being cut was nearly a done deal. What would have been an unfortunate fate for Dennard turns into a second chance for the 7^th-round draft pick out of Nebraska. Dennard will have to make a case for his place on the 53-man roster in one game vs. the New York Giants on Wednesday.

Patriots release WR Donte' Stallworth

Among the cavalcade of transactions for the Patriots on Monday - including the release of FB Spencer Larsen and the extension of TE Aaron Hernandez – none comes as more of a surprise/disappointment than the release of WR Donte’ Stallworth.

Given the logjam at Wide Receiver this offseason, it was understood that Stallworth may be a bubble player at the final cut to the 53-man roster. Competing with Deion Branch would prove to be an insurmountable task, as Branch has a long-standing rapport with Tom Brady. On the other end, Stallworth was also up against Jabar Gaffney, another favorite of Brady. Gaffney was also a specialist in Offensive Coordinator Josh McDaniels’ offenses from 2006-08.

Though Stallworth had proved himself worthy with the Patriots – he led the league in Yards After Catch during the Patriots record-breaking 2007 season – reclaiming his spot in New England was an uphill battle from the start. Stallworth has proven to be the type of player who does many things well. Unfortunately, Bill Belichick has loaded the receiver’s unit with a number of players who each do one task very well. In short, each receiver on the roster can do one specific skill better than Stallworth. This, of course, left Stallworth with no leverage in his case to make the Patriots’ roster.

There is hope for those who saw the good in Stallworth this year. This offseason, he was good to the media, and the media was good to him. Stallworth carried himself like a textbook veteran throughout camp, coaching up the younger receivers and refining his skills with the older guys. While his release is definite, don’t be surprised at all if the Patriots bring him back midway throughout the season.  

DL Warren released; Carter to the Patriots?

On Sunday night, less than 24 hours prior to when the league’s mandatory 75-man roster goes into effect, the Patriots announce the release of 3 players:  DL Gerard Warren, S Josh Barrett, and DB Ross Ventrone.

While Barrett and Ventrone come as little surprise (Don’t worry - Ventrone will be re-signed and released another 13 times), the release of veteran DL Gerard Warren is a cause for confusion.

Sure, the defense has been a bright spot this training camp – with veterans growing into form and younger guys learning very quickly – but depth has been crucial to the Belichick era. With the release of Warren, the Patriots lose a bit of that defensive depth they've touted this offseason.

Gerard Warren has been a veteran of the Patriots defense for the past few years, providing guidance and tutelage to the many faces that have graced this roster throughout his tenure here. As the defense cultivates its image this season, it seems only necessary to keep Warren on board for the changing-of-the-guard. His leadership would’ve been crucial in keeping this young group of guys in check throughout this season. Maturity and accountability were two points that highlighted the defenses’ woes in 2009, and proved to be chronic in the following years.

There are a few directions we can take this: The Patriots released Warren as a formality to make room for another player, with the hopes of resigning him later. On the other hand, we can make the case that the departure of Warren signals a rekindling of the Patriots on-again, off-again interest in DE Andre Carter. Carter, who suffered a season-ending knee injury vs. Washington in 2011, remains one of the top defensive free agents on the market. Despite this, he has not courted much interest during the offseason and camp. Carter proved to be a staple in an otherwise lackluster 2011 defense, compiling 10 sacks in 14 games. The main issue seems to lie within his rehabilitation and whether or not he can return to form at his age. At 33, Carter is over the hill of his NFL career, and loses the leverage he once held at the negotiating table.

Despite the loss of Warren, the Patriots have many options on the roster and in free agency, and are far from going into damage control on the defensive side of the ball. 

Halftime Report vs Buccaneers

At the Half, the Patriots trail the Buccaneers, 20-7

Some quick thoughts from the first half:

Pass Rush

The Patriots’ pass rush has been a mixed bag of eye candy this preseason – a year in which nearly every player has played a vital role in doing their job and being in position to make a play. It’s safe to say this will be the new status quo in New England, as the defense has seemed to turn a corner this offseason.

The Good, the Bad, the Ridley

RB Stevan Ridley has proven his explosiveness as a runner, but also raises some concern with blocking. On multiple occasions during the first half, Ridley botched his assignments on passing plays, causing a few errant throws. It’s a must for Ridley to understand the NFL’s sophisticated blocking schemes to earn a full-time spot in the NFL.

Pass Blocking

Speaking of pass-blocking, this line needs to step up and protect Brady and they needed it yesterday. The offense simply cannot afford to have Brady hit in open space. As the second quarter progressed, we saw Brady rushing his throws and, really, knocking the offense out of it’s rhythm. This is a need that must be addressed before the season begins.

3-Step Dropbacks: What to watch for vs. Eagles

The Patriots kick off their second preseason game tonight, an exhibition against the Philadelphia Eagles. There isn’t much ado about tonight’s contest – the biggest story being that Tom Brady will not play against the Eagles. This is more or less a precautionary move, as the Patriots will embark on a road trip following tonight’s game that will include away games against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and New York Giants. At the end of the preseason, the Patriots will have played 3 games within a span of 10 days. Thus, the majority of New England’s firepower should be on the sideline tonight.

Here are three things to watch for in the Eagles Patriots preseason game.

The Backup Quarterback position

                Of course I’m watching the backups tonight. Of course I am. I’ve opened my last two articles with discussing the backup quarterbacks, and tonight is no different.  After spending last week praising Ryan Mallett, he made me look like a fool out here. He wasn’t awful, but the battle for the number 2 spot could be a lot more difficult than once assumed. I could be completely wrong - Brian Hoyer has been trusted with leading the Patriots offense in Brady’s absence – could he be the best fit for this offense?

The Offensive Line

                Not much has changed from last week – minus the fact that Patriot Nation is absolutely appalled. Seriously, what happened there?  To their credit, they paved the way for some big plays by Stevan Ridley and Shane Vereen  - though many of us had called it a night by the time they got it going. With Logan Mankins back, and nine days of OL Coach Dante Scarnecchia ripping into the guys after an abysmal preseason opener, expect to see this unit bounce back.

The Coaching

                With the backups in, this is a prime opportunity for Coach Belichick to install some of the bubble plays – plays that the team may be on the fence about. The honest part of this is that this where the makeup of the team is cultivated. The fun part is that onlookers such as myself may get a chance to see some fun trick plays – maybe a flea-flicker or a bootleg here or there.

Stay logged into Reign Over New England throughout Pats Camp for 3 Step-Dropbacks, A rapid-fire style of reporting that will highlight 3 key areas of the many topics that surround this Patriots squad. Follow @ReignOverNE on Twitter to keep up!

3-Step Dropbacks: What To Watch For vs. Saints

It’s finally here: After six long months of pacing the room, wondering how Wes dropped that catch, and how Manningham pulled in that pass in double coverage, I – we – can finally put it all behind us. We as Patriot Nation can look forward to another year of football. The Patriots stand on the precipice of a long and grueling battle to defend their title as AFC Champions, and they are armed with the personnel to make it happen.

Continuing with the 3-Step Dropbacks series, here are 3 situations to watch for in Thursday’s preseason opener vs. the New Orleans Saints.

QB Ryan Mallett

For the second week in a row, I begin with Ryan Mallett. I have to admit – I love this guy! He was easily first-round material in 2011, yet he fell to New England at the 74^th overall selection. He’s 6’7”, has an absolute cannon for an arm, and is learning from one of the greatest of all-time in Tom Brady. Mallett will no doubt be a starter in the NFL someday, it’s just a matter of when. Right now, the number 2 QB slot is his for the taking, and it would come as a surprise if he didn’t hold that spot on Sept. 7.

The Offensive line Unit

There are many players in this unit who show promise (Nate Solder, Nick McDonald, Sebastian Vollmer), but the line is a far cry from being the sure-fire unit it’s been in years’ past. Some vets are injured, one vet retired, and another just refuses to show up to Training Camp. Lost in all the excitement of a new-look defense is a very suspect offensive line.

The Secondary Unit

Speaking of defense, one of the gaping holes in New England’s 2011 defense was the defensive backs corps. A few favorable moves have been made – the unit has more of a veteran presence – but the question is if it will be enough to support what is projecting to be a pretty consistent pass rush. Watch for the new guys to get a few looks in tomorrow’s contest.  You can be sure that the defensive backs that survive all cuts to Opening Day will be a battle-tested group of warriors.

Stay logged into Reign Over New England throughout Pats Camp for 3 Step-Dropbacks, A rapid-fire style of reporting that will highlight 3 key areas of the many topics that surround this Patriots squad. Follow @ReignOverNE on Twitter to keep up!

3-Step Dropbacks: Key Matchups to watch in Training Camp

So far, the 2012 Patriots have proven to be quite a spectacle – even if the long bombs and hard hits haven’t left the confines of the Gillette practice field yet, the excitement and adrenaline is back in all of its glory. With all the fanfare surrounding the Patriots as they begin their 2012 campaign, it’s hard not to get excited. As I’ve discussed in the past, the name of the game this year is competition with the intent to push each player to train harder than the other 3 or 4 guys lobbying for his position. So far, this has made for an incredible energy at camp. I’ve even heard the numbers “16-0”(Gasp!)  uttered a few times.  I wouldn’t go that far just yet. Nonetheless, there are many facets of this roster that spark a bit of intrigue from a competitive standpoint.

Position:  2^nd-String Quarterback.

Players:  Brian Hoyer, Ryan Mallet.

                Despite all of the acquisitions to the defensive side of the ball, nothing has me more excited than seeing these two duke it out for a shot at holding the clipboard for Brady. To be frank, this will be the most important matchup of the 2012 offseason. Being able step in and maintain the pace of this offense in the absence of Brady will be quite a task. Factor in the fact that there are a lot of question marks surrounding the Offensive Line, and you almost need to have one of these guys at a starting caliber behind TB12. Ryan Mallett looked like a veteran in his rookie preseason last year, and Brian Hoyer has been reliable in the very few times his name has been called since signing with the Patriots as an UDFA in ’09. Both of these guys will be with the Patriots throughout ’12, but the one who can do enough to earn the 2^nd spot will be invaluable to this franchise.

Projected outcome: Ryan Mallett.

                He was cool and collected in a year in which his rookie offseason was cut short due to the labor dispute. With a full, uninterrupted season under his belt, what will he be capable of?

Position:  Middle Linebacker.

Players:  Dane Fletcher, Dont’a Hightower.

                With 2 seasons under his belt, 2012 looks to be a breakout year for Dane Fletcher. That’s all well and good, except for the fact that 2012 First-rounder Dont’a Hightower has literally sent shockwaves throughout the practice field at Gillette. In one-on-one drills, Hightower blew through Fullback Eric Kettani and accidentally Hit Stick 2.0’d Running Backs coach Ivan Fears. The hit was enough to draw a rousing applause from the more than 10,000 fans in attendance. On the other hand, Fletcher has NFL experience. He has cultivated his talents in this system, and has proven to be one of the more reliable players of the past year.

Projected outcome: Don’t’a Hightower

 Given the high draft selection, and the aggressiveness with which both sides negotiated, the Patriots have put a lot of chips on the table for Hightower, and they’re not about to fold.

Position:  Free Safety.

Players:  Steve Gregory, Sergio Brown.

                Out of all the intriguing matchups of the offseason, this may be the most-one sided of them all – and with little surprise. Steven Gregory essentially walked into the Patriots organization with a persona reminiscent of Rodney Harrison. According to CB Devin McCourty, his football IQ is off the charts, conducting the defense with a Keith Lockhart-like fluidity in practice. Sergio Brown proved himself to be a contender for FS, but Steven Gregory was made to be a Patriot.

Projected outcome: Steven Gregory.\

                There hasn’t been a sure thing in the Patriots’ secondary since Asante Samuel left in ‘08.  While Gregory won’t provide that type of skill on the field, his leadership in the locker room will be reminiscent of a Kevin Faulk or Andre Carter.

Stay logged into Reign Over New England throughout Pats Camp for 3 Step-Dropbacks, A rapid-fire style of reporting that will highlight 3 key areas of the many topics that surround this Patriots squad. Follow @ReignOverNE on Twitter to keep up!

Primary Goals for the Secondary: Highlighting the Defensive Backfield

It’s June 26th, and the Patriots’ 2012 offseason has already proved to be more active and entertaining than in years’ past. With a gradual inflation in player personnel, this years’ offseason proves to be one that will be entertaining from a competitive standpoint.

Right now, you may be thinking, “But Austin, we’ve heard this before: the Patriots are stacked at the wide receiver position to elicit competitive tendencies and bring out the best in all eleven players currently in that unit!” – and you are most certainly right, but allow me to further drive this point home (perhaps beat a dead horse).

The defensive backfield has been a unit of great uncertainty since the departure of All-Pro Cornerback (and Super Bowl XLII-winning interception dropper…) Asante Samuel. Since Samuel left, we’ve seen Ellis Hobbs traded to Philly, Rodney Harrison retire by injury, and James Sanders cut from the squad.  All four we’re mainstays and role players in a veteran defense – a squad that many believed would take this Patriots defense into the future.

Sadly, the year is 2012, and there are no shutdown corners. There are no ball-hawking Safeties. There’s no bulldozer on the strong side that will make opposing receivers think twice about coming over the middle. Just… a bunch of guys. But 2012 is different. 2012 gives us opportunity, it gives the Patriots options. With 16 (Sixteen!) players in the defensive backfield unit, Coach Belichick’s approach to mass competition will likely pay off in dividends. While I am fully capable, I will not sit here and give you sixteen reasons why the Patriots’ defensive backfield will be successful this year. I will, however, give you three good reasons as to why you can expect better things from the back end in 2012.

Reason 1: Devin McCourty, CB/S. 3^rd Year. (All w/ Patriots)

Hold on, let me explain: McCourty was a disappointment last year. He gave Patriot Nation a textbook example of a good, old-fashioned sophomore slump. It sucked, I’m sure it sucked for him, but I’m as sure as the day is long that he has grown from it, and he will deliver an impressive 2012 campaign. Devin will emerge as one of the leaders in that defensive backfield, and his struggles in his sophomore year will serve as the guiding light for himself and the newcomers as we move into a revamped defensive unit. Furthermore, McCourty has proved his versatility – an asset Belichick covets more than any other quality in a player. In 2011, McCourty split his time between CB and S and, while he struggled, he did show the promise to improve, which will make him an invaluable asset to the secondary.

Reason 2:  Steve Gregory, S. 7^th Year (1^st w/ Patriots)

Steve Gregory is a player who really snuck into the locker room under the radar. While we were all hoping the Patriots would lock down LaRon Landry, or jump into the top 10 of the Draft to grab former Alabama (now Buccaneer) Safety Mark Barron, Steven Gregory signed with the team amidst very little fanfare of his arrival. The former Jets fan out of Syracuse brings with him a wealth of knowledge and impressive fundamentals. Because of this, Gregory seems to project as a player who will thrive in the Patriots’ defensive system. Much like Wes Welker did, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Steve Gregory make waves in the Patriots system and pan out to become one of the better acquisitions of the 2012 season. Furthermore, Gregory’s soft-spoken demeanor will allow him to become a positive presence in the locker room.

Reason 3: Patrick Chung. S. 4^th Year (All w/ Patriots)

It is definitely necessary for Patrick Chung to step up and emerge as a leader – not only for the secondary, but for the entire defense. Chung has had time to develop, and in that time he’s showed flashes of greatness (Week 4, 2010 vs. Miami Dolphins on Monday Night Football, Anyone?). The time has come, and with contract issues on the horizon, 2012 is a make-or-break year for Chung. The contract status for #25 has already become problematic for Bill belichick &Co. Chung’s contributions to this team could dictate the direction of this Patriots secondary for years to come, and that’s why I believe he is the most important player on the Patriots secondary this season.

So, while the Patriots don’t have a shutdown corner, a ball-hawk, or any All-Pro player in the secondary, they have what many other teams lack: A wealth of opportunity; a diverse group of talent, skill, and experience that should provide a healthy reserve of players to contribute in the defensive backfield throughout the 2012 campaign.

Patriots Season Preview: 2012

It’s been nearly a month since the NFL schedule was released, and analysts all over have been writing up their predictions for each team. Even before the NFL Draft, some of the most distinguished journalists already had the season in the books and were merely waiting for the games to be played. I can’t help but feel as though many of these writers jumped the gun and perhaps overlooked some key factors.

I decided to take an unconventional approach and sit on my predictions. I had initially planned to write this entry immediately following the NFL Draft. Even then, I felt as though I needed to see a bit more from the Patriots in order to determine where they are headed this year.

The official New England Patriots schedule is courtesy of patriots.com, and is available here.

Week 1: at Tennessee Titans. Sunday, Sept. 9. 1:00 p.m. ET. CBS.

While it’s not the Sunday night or Monday night headliner one would expect for a defending AFC Champion team, the Patriots do have a rather lax matchup coming out of the gate. This game was a tad bit more interesting before the NFL Draft, but with the acquisitions of first-round studs Chandler Jones and Dont’a Hightower, the Patriots’ defense as a unit should stifle any fighting chance the Titans may have. Ultimately, Tennessee’s lack of a game-changer on offense will be their downfall.

Prediction: Patriots 28, Titans 14. (1-0)

Week 2: vs. Arizona Cardinals. Sunday, Sept. 16. 1:00 p.m. ET. FOX.

This one just seems like a gimme, doesn’t it? Arizona hasn’t been much of a threat at all despite reaching Super Bowl XLIII in the 2008 season. Alas, I can assure you that this game will be much closer than what the numbers will tell us today. Two words: Larry Fitzgerald. This guy could have Ryan Leaf chucking up lame ducks all season, and he’d still find a way to pull in 90/1,500/10 by Week 17. If that’s not bad enough, the Cardinals drafted WR Michael Floyd with the 13^th overall selection in the 2012 NFL Draft. Even if he is just an above-average wideout, Fitzgerald should be occupying at least 2 defenders all day, allowing Floyd to be open on many key plays. Hell, even Early Doucet has developed into a solid 3^rd option receiver, and could prove to be vital to Arizona’s gameplan. Despite the threats Arizona’s defense possesses, New England walks away from this one holding their collective breath.

Prediction: Patriots 31, Cardinals 24. (2-0)

Week 3: at Baltimore. Sunday, Sept. 23. 8:20 p.m. ET. NBC

Ah, yes. Or should I say, ‘Oh, no’? We knew they’d be back. They knew it too. It’s scary to think of what may unfold on this particular night. You can be assured that there will be no bounties necessary, as this Baltimore Ravens squad is so pissed at how their season ended – side note: I can remember walking out of my building screaming “Woo! Cundiff!” in the moments following the kicker’s monumental collapse in the AFC Championship game; Great times.  - and will be ready to punch this Patriots team square in the jaw. They won’t get slaughtered, they won’t be shutout, but there is no such thing as a good loss. Thus, this team will take it’s first loss of the 2012 season on NBC’s Sunday Night Football. Mark it down: the Ravens will win on a late touchdown – perhaps poetic retribution for the way their 2011 playoff run ended.

Prediction: Ravens 28, Patriots 26. (2-1)

Week 4: at Buffalo. Sunday, Sept. 30. 1:00 p.m. ET. CBS.

In the Patriots first rivalry game of the 2012 season, the team will travel to Orchard Park, NY to take on the Buffalo Bills. While I strongly believe that New England walks away victorious in this one, it’s important to note that these aren’t your father’s Buffalo Bills. Something has changed in this squad over the past 12 months or so. Maybe it’s QB Ryan Fitzpatrick’s new-found pocket presence. Maybe it’s the way they stacked their front seven on defense by signing DE’s Mario Williams and former Patriot Mark Anderson this offseason. Perhaps it’s the lift that WR Stevie Johnson brings to the receiver’s unit. Johnson has the uncanny ability to occupy defenders in such a way that allows fellow receiver David Nelson to find passes in the slot. While Johnson doesn’t have the numbers to prove it, he brings to the Bills offense what many analysts have dubbed the “Moss Effect”. That is, the mere threat that Johnson brings to the game is enough to pull opposing defenses’ focus away from other weapons in the unit - namely, Fred Jackson and David Nelson. Despite the Bills’ prolific receiving corps and the frightening defensive line, Brady & the Pats will not let this one get out of hand as it did last September. Patriots roll.

Prediction: Patriots 24, Bills 14. (3-1)

Week 5: vs. Denver Broncos. Sunday, Oct. 9. 4:15 p.m. ET. CBS.

Sunday, October the 9^th marks not the beginning of a new chapter, but a whole new book in the storied Brady-Manning rivalry.  Hold your horses – this one won’t be your classic shootout that we’ve seen in years’ past. Peyton Manning’s move from the Indianapolis Colts to the Denver Broncos has him sitting atop the saddle of a whole new stallion. Despite Manning’s efforts to thwart Brady’s success at home, the Broncos will be unable to buck the trend of the Patriots posting over 40 points against one of the better defenses in the league. Patriots roll, and Brady rides off into the sunset in a brand-new Mustang. …If you use one pun, you’ve got to use them all.

Prediction: Patriots 42, Broncos 24. (4-1)

Week 6: at Seattle Seahawks. Sunday, Oct. 14. 4:05 p.m. ET. CBS.

For the Patriots’ lone west-coast trip, they travel to arguably the toughest NFL stadium for visiting teams: CenturyLink Field in Seattle. As home of the 12^th man, Seattle fans come out in droves to not only support their home team, but to make as much noise as humanly possible. In 2011, the stadium noise and energy following Marshawn Lynch’s 67-yard touchdown run vs. the New Orleans Saints was enough to generate a literal earthquake that registered at a seismic monitoring station in Seattle. Throw QB Matt Flynn into the mix, and we’re talking about an incredibly tough challenge. After a 5 touchdowns and over 400 yards in the 2011 season finale, Flynn has proved that he is ready to take the NFL by storm. Seattle will escape narrowly on the shoulders of Matt Flynn.

Prediction: Seahawks 31, Patriots 28. (4-2)

Week 7: vs. New York Jets. Sunday, Oct. 21. 4:15 p.m. ET. CBS.

Finally. This is the matchup all Patriots fans love to see. Anytime Rex Ryan and his band of thugs come into town, it proves to be a circus of entertainment. The 2012 Jets are panning out to be more of a sitcom than an NFL football team. This week doesn’t really deserve any in-depth analysis - as it’s going to be your run-of-the-mill blowout – but there’s this cynical part of me that really enjoys talking trash about the Jets. For one, you’ve got great uncertainty at the Quarterback position. You have DB Darrelle Revis holding out for a better contract for the 2^nd time in 3 years. Meanwhile, Santonio Holmes, who is seen as a team leader by the NFL community, has the capacity to blow up the entire locker room all on his lonesome. – side note: notice it’s been 7 sentences, and I haven’t mentioned HIM at all. – This week is almost too easy. Patriots will once again silence that really annoying noise coming from the New Jersey area.

Prediction: Patriots 35, Jets 10. (5-2)

Week 8: at St. Louis Rams (London). Sunday, Oct. 28. 1:00 p.m. ET. CBS.

The Patriots travel to historic Wembley Stadium in jolly ‘ole London, England to take on the St.Louis Rams. The last time the Patriots were there, in 2009, they laid an absolute licking on the down-and-out Tampa Bay Buccaneers, winning that matchup 35-7. New England will take Old England by storm once again, easily handling soon-to-be-bust Sam Bradford. While the Rams’ defense has made many improvements this offseason, due in large part to new Head Coach Jeff Fisher, the multi-faceted receiving corps will be far too much for the Rams to handle. Patriots take this one like the Colonial Army took New England from the Kingdom.

Prediction: Patriots 34, Rams 17. (6-2)

Week 9: BYE WEEK. Sunday, Nov. 4.

You can expect all to be quiet on the Patriots front. You can also expect to find me aimlessly wandering the streets in search of a purpose until November 11^th.

Prediction: After 3 days, I go crazy and consider following the Boston Celtics before the NFL season actually concludes.

Week 10: vs. Buffalo Bills. Sunday, Nov. 11. 1:00 p.m. ET. CBS.

The second half of the Patriots’ 2012 campaign is officially underway. Historically, New England has enjoyed great success down the stretch in years’ past, and this season will be no different. The Buffalo Bills come to town for their second and final matchup with the Patriots for 2012, and will ultimately walk away empty-handed. After coming up short at home, the Bills will not be able to work past a Patriots defense that, by this time, has grown into itself. Wilfork & Co. will stifle Fitzpatrick’s attempts at being a relevant NFL Quarterback.

Prediction: Patriots 30, Bills 13. (7-2)

Week 11: vs. Indianapolis Colts. Sunday, Nov. 18. 1:00 p.m. ET. CBS.

After Colts owner Jim Irsay took it upon himself to gut the entire organization from the front office to the players, the Patriots welcome the new-look Indianapolis Colts into town. With QB Andrew Luck at the helm, this proves to be a rather intriguing matchup. The number 1 overall selection in the 2012 NFL Draft has conducted himself in a Manning-like manner – promoting hard work, and quickly taking on a leadership role. Despite Andrew’s skills, as well as his will to win at the next level, there will be no luck at Gillette on this day. The brutal truth is that rookies make rookie mistakes. Period. Patriots take this one to the bank.

Prediction: Patriots 31, Colts 20. (8-2)

Week 12: at New York Jets.  Thursday, Nov. 22. (Thanksgiving). 8:20 p.m. ET. NBC.

Tebow. There, I said it. I’m going on record as saying that Tim Tebow will be the New York Jets starting Quarterback by this week. Why, you ask? Because, New York. New York is a tough media market to compete in, and an even tougher market to lose in. I firmly believe that Rex Ryan is on the hot seat in 2012, and will be fighting for his job. After sending multiple draft picks to acquire Tim Tebow, Ryan will be taking a lot of heat. Furthermore, you can expect Mark Sanchez to continue his lackluster play from last year, and that alone will push the front office to start Timmy at QB. This pretty much translates to another one in the ‘W’ column for New England, as it has for the past two contests vs. Tim Tebow. I fell that he will complete only 10-12 passes – a few of them to the New England defense – and will be sacked 4 times. Patriots sweep the Jets in ’12.

Prediction: Patriots 38, Jets 20. (9-2)

Week 13: at Miami Dolphins. Sunday, Dec. 2. 1:00 p.m. ET. CBS.

The Patriots continue their AFC East road trip with a visit to Sun Life Stadium to take on the Miami Dolphins. Every year, the Patriots have one game that just gets away from them, and it’s usually the one that seems to be the least threatening. In 2010, it was against the Cleveland Browns on the road. Last year, it was in Orchard Park against the Buffalo Bills. This year, the Patriots will hit a bump in the road against the Miami Dolphins. I hate to say it, but I think Miami will be the better team on this day. As innocent as they may seem, the Miami Dolphins will narrowly escape with one of just a couple of wins in 2012.

Prediction: Dolphins 24. Patriots 21. (9-3)

Week 14: vs. Houston Texans. Monday, Dec. 10. 8:20 p.m. ET. ESPN.

At this point in the season, Patriots fans are used to tuning into the second Monday night game of the year. Unconventionally, the matchup against the Texans is New England’s lone appearance on ESPN’s Monday Night Football. Look at it this way: it’s one less game that we have to listen to Jon Gruden and Ron Jaworski talk about the good ‘ole days. The Monday night showdown against the Houston Texans will be a great barometer to evaluate just where the Patriots are at in this point of the season. The Texans will be a tough challenger, but the home-cooking will bode well for Gillette’s finest. Texans’ WR Andre Johnson will undoubtedly torch the secondary for a score, maybe two, and the defense will give Brady & Co. some trouble, but the Patriots will walk away from this one victorious.

Prediction: Patriots 28, Texans 24. (10-3)

Week 15: vs. San Francisco 49ers. Sunday, Dec. 16. 8:20 p.m. ET. NBC.

Week 15 will prove to be an epic showdown of arguably the two best teams of their respective conferences from 2011. Furthermore, the personnel on the 49ers’ squad make this matchup all the more interesting. Former Patriot wideout Randy Moss has come out of retirement to join the 49ers’ receiving corps and pursue the elusive Super Bowl ring. In addition, the Patriots will be haunted by former Giants Mario Mannningham and Brandon Jacobs, as they both singed with San Francisco this offseason following their victory of the Patriots in Super Bowl XLVI. – side note: That was incredibly difficult to type out, by the way. – Getting down to brass tacks, The Patriots have a better team. They have a better quarterback, a more prolific passing game, and a defense that can go punch-for-punch with the likes of San Francisco. New England will struggle with stopping the run, but that’s about all they will struggle with. Patriots roll, and perhaps clinch a playoff berth in the process.

Prediction: Patriots 27, 49ers 16. (11-3)

Week 16: at Jacksonville Jaguars. Sunday, Dec. 23. 1:00 p.m. ET. CBS.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have quietly improved over the 2011-2012 offseason. With the acquisition of QB Chad Henne and WR’s Laurent Robinson and Lee Evans, they may have something going for them. Factor in RB Maurice Jones-Drew, and you have yourself a pretty solid offense if you can keep Chad Henne upright. The Patriots will not keep Chad Henne upright. New England has had much success rattling Henne’s cage twice a year when he played just three hours south of Jacksonville for the Miami Dolphins. With a revamped defensive line and linebackers unit, you can expect more of the same from this team.

Prediction: Patriots 35, Jaguars 10. (12-3)

Week 17: vs. Miami Dolphins. Sunday, Dec. 30. 1:00 p.m. ET. CBS.

The Patriots round out their 2012 campaign at home against the division rival Miami Dolphins. I wish I had something witty to add here, but it will pretty much be a textbook victory for New England. Head Coach Bill Belichick will spend the week diligently working to correct the mistakes of the Patriots’ loss in Week 13, and will storm the Miami Dolphins with an offensive attack that will put their miserable 2012 season to rest. Patriots roll, and begin preparations for the 2012 playoffs.

Prediction: Patriots 30, Miami 10. (13-3)

The Patriots 2012 season should pan out with very few surprises, as they are expected to return to form and continue their dominance of the AFC. If you’ve stuck around and read this entire post, Thank you! Now, GO OUTSIDE.

Brady is key in the Rise from the Demise

Book it: the Patriots will stand atop the NFL elite once again as Champions.

Let’s be honest: it’s been a long offseason. Sure, the additions of free agents Brandon Lloyd and Steve Gregory coupled with high profile draft picks Chandler Jones and Dont’a Hightower may have clouded the events of the fateful night of February 5^th, but the pain is still there. I don’t think a day goes by where I don’t think about what could have been had Welker made that catch, or had the Patriots recovered one of THREE forced fumbles... I’m twitching.

It is that precise stinging feeling that will drive Tom Brady – and the rest of this Patriots team – to a sixth Super Bowl appearance.

As we've seen time and time again, 2-time Super Bowl MVP Tom Brady is a man who holds his grudges. He was forced out of his starting role at the University of Michigan, he was overlooked by every team in the 2000 NFL Draft, and  was placed 4th on the Patriots' depth chart his rookie season. Despite overwhelming adversity, Tom Brady has worked relentlessly to overcome these obstacles and become arguably the greatest QB to ever play in the NFL. To put it simply: The man does not quit.

It is this exact competitive nature that leads me to believe that Tom Brady will return next season with a fiery passion that would have engulfed Rome in its heyday. The bitter taste of defeat from Super Bowl XLVI will drive the Comeback Kid back to greatness.

Think back to January 16, 2011. The always-loud New York Jets roll into town for what Patriots fans believe to be your average, run-of-the-mill beatdown on their way to the AFC Championship Game. If you haven’t repressed most of your memories of that game – like I have – you may remember that it didn’t go quite as planned.

Fast forward to September 12, 2011.

What you saw that cool Monday night was a brutal assault; 8 months of pent-up aggression that Brady released all over the Miami Dolphins’ defensive backfield. It was pretty obvious that Brady was livid at how the 2010 season ended, and he responded by throwing for 517 yards and 4 touchdowns. This gave way to a statistically superb regular season en route to an appearance in Super Bowl XLVI. Point being, the man is for real. Regardless of how many times you may knock him down, he will always return for another fight.

We have yet to see Brady following a Super Bowl loss, – Brady was injured for the entire 2008 season, save 8 minutes – but you can bet that the level of aggression he will bring for the 2012 season will be unmatched. Given the disappointing finish to 2011, He will be looking for some Championship champagne to wash the bitter taste of Super Bowl XLVI from his mouth. Despite his inclining success, it is the ever-growing chip upon the shoulder of Mr. Brady that will continue to propel him into the upper-echelon of elite NFL Quarterbacks.

Hello, and welcome to Reign Over New England, a Boston-based sports blog dedicated to the New England Patriots. Check in frequently for the latest news and the most impeccable analysis regarding all things Patriots.